Scoring visualizer

d 5large durable1.0%

d 3moderate durable15.9%

d 1small or temporary52.3%

d 0none30.8%

bars: belief with evidence · tick: prior-only baseline (the score is the E[d] gap between them)

⊕ blendE[u] 0.286stockholm_traffic_reduction w 0.50milan_traffic_reduction w 0.50

How large and durable was the measured inner-city traffic reduction associated with Stockholm's 2006 congestion-charge trial and later permanent charge?

no reduction or increase0.0088.8%

small or temporary reduction0.337.5%

moderate or partly sustained reduction0.673.4%

large durable reduction1.000.3%

sid	source		atom	pushes
mcZGHM	cited		An external audit found that the toll-gantry system used for the 2006 Stockholm congestion-charge evaluation double-counted vehicles that crossed multiple gantries during one trip.	↓ no reduction or increase +0.56
T8E5hh	cited	retired	Stockholm's city transport office's toll-gantry-based evaluation found that inner-city traffic dropped by about 20% almost immediately after the 2006 congestion-charge trial began.	↑ large durable reduction +0.78
T8E5hh	cited	q 0.40	Stockholm's city transport office's toll-gantry-based evaluation found that Stockholm's inner-city traffic reduction persisted after the congestion charge was made permanent.	↑ large durable reduction +0.28
mcZGHM	asserted		Stockholm's city transport office formally withdrew its 2006 congestion-charge trial evaluation in the week of the submission.	↓ no reduction or increase +0.57
mcZGHM	cited		Stockholm's city transport office stated that its headline traffic-reduction figure from the 2006 trial evaluation can no longer be relied upon.	↓ no reduction or increase +0.55
14qSjc	cited		An independent university research group's evaluation of Stockholm's 2006 congestion-pricing trial found roughly a 20% reduction in traffic crossing into Stockholm's inner city during the trial period.	↑ moderate or partly sustained reduction +0.85

How large and sustained was the measured reduction in vehicle entries into Milan's Area C charged zone after implementation of the Area C congestion charge?

no reduction or increase0.0029.6%

small or temporary reduction0.337.9%

moderate or partly sustained reduction0.6738.8%

large sustained reduction1.0023.7%

sid	source		atom	pushes
foM4ag	cited		Milan's Area C congestion charge reduced vehicle entries into the charged zone by roughly 30% during its first years, according to Milan municipal monitoring reports.	↑ moderate or partly sustained reduction +0.80

d 5strong1.8%

d 3moderate19.3%

d 1mild46.2%

d 0none32.7%

bars: belief with evidence · tick: prior-only baseline (the score is the E[d] gap between them)

⊕ blendE[u] 0.297stockholm_retail_sales_decline w 0.50london_retail_sales_decline w 0.50

How large and durable was any retail sales decline inside Stockholm's congestion-charge zone after implementation?

no decline or increase0.0045.2%

small or temporary decline0.3342.3%

moderate or persistent decline0.679.1%

large persistent decline1.003.4%

sid	source		atom	pushes
1FilU9	cited		Stockholm's downtown retail association reported a mid-single-digit sales dip in the congestion-charge zone during the first year of implementation.	↑ small or temporary decline +0.63

How large and durable was any retail sales decline inside London's congestion-charge zone after implementation?

no decline or increase0.0046.0%

small or temporary decline0.3310.5%

moderate or persistent decline0.6733.9%

large persistent decline1.009.6%

sid	source		atom	pushes
1FilU9	cited		London shopkeepers' groups have reported for years that retail sales declined in the congestion-charge zone.	↑ moderate or persistent decline +0.49

Should Meridian City charge cars to enter downtown at peak hours?

After comment foM4ag (step 5)

Increasing the expected durable reduction in downtown car traffic from a peak-hour cordon charge when side A is chosen strengthens Team A's case.

Increasing the expected reduction in downtown retail and small-business sales from a peak-hour cordon charge when side A is chosen strengthens Team B's case.