raw step payloads
{
"evaluations": [
{
"atoms": [
{
"text": "Stockholm's downtown retail association reported a mid-single-digit sales dip in the charged zone during the first year of implementation.",
"q_truth": 1,
"source_kind": "cited_source_claim",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s1_a1"
},
{
"text": "London shopkeepers' groups have reported a similar sales decline in the charged zone for several years.",
"q_truth": 1,
"source_kind": "cited_source_claim",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s1_a2"
},
{
"text": "Stockholm's downtown retail association reported a mid-single-digit sales dip in the charged zone during the first year of the charge.",
"q_truth": 1,
"source_kind": "cited_source_claim",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s2_a1"
},
{
"text": "London shopkeepers' groups have complained about a sales dip in the charged zone for years.",
"q_truth": 1,
"source_kind": "cited_source_claim",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s2_a2"
},
{
"text": "Stockholm's downtown retail association reported a mid-single-digit sales dip in the congestion charge zone in the first year of its implementation.",
"q_truth": 1,
"source_kind": "cited_source_claim",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s3_a1"
},
{
"text": "London shopkeepers' groups have reported that the congestion charge caused a retail sales decline for years.",
"q_truth": 1,
"source_kind": "cited_source_claim",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s3_a2"
}
],
"stage": "p1"
},
{
"stage": "p2",
"output": {
"routes": [
{
"route_type": "primary_emission",
"variable_id": "v_stockholm_retail_sales_decline",
"temp_or_atom_id": "tmp_s1_a1",
"why_this_variable": "The atom observes Stockholm's charged-zone retail sales decline after congestion-charge implementation.",
"why_not_direct_axis": "It is precedent-city evidence, not a direct observation of Meridian's expected downtown retail and small-business sales loss."
},
{
"route_type": "primary_emission",
"variable_id": "v_london_retail_sales_decline",
"temp_or_atom_id": "tmp_s1_a2",
"why_this_variable": "The atom observes London shopkeeper-group reports about retail sales decline inside London's congestion-charge zone.",
"why_not_direct_axis": "It is precedent-city evidence and source-reported experience, not a direct observation of Meridian's expected downtown retail and small-business sales loss."
}
],
"sc_actions": [
{
"L": 3,
"sc": "Increasing the expected reduction in downtown retail and small-business sales from a peak-hour cordon charge when side A is chosen strengthens Team B's case.",
"side": "A",
"team": "B",
"sc_id": "sc_downtown_retail_sales_loss",
"action": "create",
"axis_variable": {
"levels": [
"none",
"mild",
"moderate",
"strong"
],
"var_id": "v_axis_downtown_retail_sales_loss",
"definition": "Degree to which adopting a peak-hour downtown cordon charge is expected to reduce sales or customer activity for downtown retail and small businesses in Meridian.",
"level_centers": {
"mild": 0.3333,
"none": 0,
"strong": 1,
"moderate": 0.6667
},
"degree_by_level": {
"mild": 1,
"none": 0,
"strong": 5,
"moderate": 3
}
},
"user_intent_summary": "The submission argues that congestion charges can reduce retail sales inside the charged zone and impose costs on small businesses, counting against pricing the cordon.",
"constructiveness_check": {
"passed": true,
"polarity": "unipolar",
"direction": "increasing",
"qs_flip_result": "sensible_equivalent",
"axis_variable_phrase": "expected reduction in downtown retail and small-business sales from a peak-hour cordon charge",
"own_goal_repair_needed": false
}
}
],
"uncertainty": {
"level": "medium",
"reasons": [
"The London claim is qualitative and source-group based rather than a quantified sales measurement, but it still observes the London retail-impact sub-issue."
]
},
"atom_updates": [],
"axis_rule_actions": [
{
"action": "create",
"rule_type": "weighted_mean",
"axis_rule_id": "ar_downtown_retail_sales_loss",
"input_weights": {
"v_london_retail_sales_decline": 0.5,
"v_stockholm_retail_sales_decline": 0.5
},
"axis_variable_id": "v_axis_downtown_retail_sales_loss",
"input_level_values": {
"v_london_retail_sales_decline": {
"no_decline_or_increase": 0,
"large_persistent_decline": 1,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.3333,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.6667
},
"v_stockholm_retail_sales_decline": {
"no_decline_or_increase": 0,
"large_persistent_decline": 1,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.3333,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.6667
}
},
"input_variable_ids": [
"v_stockholm_retail_sales_decline",
"v_london_retail_sales_decline"
]
}
],
"atom_status_actions": [],
"atom_canonicalization": [
{
"action": "create",
"reason": "New Stockholm-specific factual claim about retail sales inside a charged zone; no existing atom covers retail sales effects.",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s1_a1",
"canonical_text": "Stockholm's downtown retail association reported a mid-single-digit sales dip in the congestion-charge zone during the first year of implementation.",
"existing_atom_id": null
},
{
"action": "create",
"reason": "New London-specific factual claim about recurring business-group reports of retail sales decline inside a charged zone.",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s1_a2",
"canonical_text": "London shopkeepers' groups have reported for years that retail sales declined in the congestion-charge zone.",
"existing_atom_id": null
},
{
"action": "reject",
"reason": "Redundant near-duplicate extraction of the Stockholm retail-association report already represented by tmp_s1_a1.",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s2_a1",
"canonical_text": null,
"existing_atom_id": null
},
{
"action": "reject",
"reason": "Redundant near-duplicate extraction of the London shopkeeper-groups report already represented by tmp_s1_a2.",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s2_a2",
"canonical_text": null,
"existing_atom_id": null
},
{
"action": "reject",
"reason": "Redundant near-duplicate extraction of the Stockholm retail-association report already represented by tmp_s1_a1.",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s3_a1",
"canonical_text": null,
"existing_atom_id": null
},
{
"action": "reject",
"reason": "Redundant near-duplicate extraction of the London shopkeeper-groups report; the causal wording does not create a separate observation.",
"temp_atom_id": "tmp_s3_a2",
"canonical_text": null,
"existing_atom_id": null
}
],
"world_variable_actions": [
{
"kind": "evidence",
"action": "create",
"levels": [
"no_decline_or_increase",
"small_or_temporary_decline",
"moderate_or_persistent_decline",
"large_persistent_decline"
],
"var_id": "v_stockholm_retail_sales_decline",
"definition": "How large and durable was any retail sales decline inside Stockholm's congestion-charge zone after implementation?",
"granularity_rationale": "This is a city-specific retail-impact outcome, narrower than the Meridian expected-sales-loss axis and broader than one source; future official, business-association, or independent observations about Stockholm's retail sales effect should share it."
},
{
"kind": "evidence",
"action": "create",
"levels": [
"no_decline_or_increase",
"small_or_temporary_decline",
"moderate_or_persistent_decline",
"large_persistent_decline"
],
"var_id": "v_london_retail_sales_decline",
"definition": "How large and durable was any retail sales decline inside London's congestion-charge zone after implementation?",
"granularity_rationale": "This is a city-specific retail-impact outcome, narrower than the Meridian expected-sales-loss axis and broader than one source; future shopkeeper, official, or independent observations about London's retail sales effect should share it."
}
]
},
"warnings": [],
"uncertainty": {
"level": "medium",
"reasons": [
"The London claim is qualitative and source-group based rather than a quantified sales measurement, but it still observes the London retail-impact sub-issue."
]
}
}
],
"merged": {
"created": {
"tmp_s1_a1": "a_stockholm_s_downtown_retail_association",
"tmp_s1_a2": "a_london_shopkeepers_groups_have_reported"
},
"rejected": [
"tmp_s2_a1",
"tmp_s2_a2",
"tmp_s3_a1",
"tmp_s3_a2"
],
"retired_atoms": [],
"q_truth_updates": {},
"merged_same_fact": {}
},
"bayes_outputs": {
"p3": [
{
"atom_id": "a_stockholm_s_downtown_retail_association",
"samples": [
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -1,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.5
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.4,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.6,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.1
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.75,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.4,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.2,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.4,
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},
{
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"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.25,
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.3
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.75,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.4,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.4,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.4,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.2
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.5,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.35,
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"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.25,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.75,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.75,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.25,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.4,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.4,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.2
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.75,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.4,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.5,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.25,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -1,
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"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.5
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.75,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.75,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.75,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.5,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0
}
],
"averaged": {
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"large_persistent_decline": -0.6347826086956523,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.4630434782608696,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": -0.2021739130434783
},
"variable_id": "v_stockholm_retail_sales_decline"
},
{
"atom_id": "a_london_shopkeepers_groups_have_reported",
"samples": [
{
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.5
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": 0.1,
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.4
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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},
{
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"small_or_temporary_decline": -0.25,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.25
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.3,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.5
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.4,
"large_persistent_decline": 0.15,
"small_or_temporary_decline": -0.15,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.5
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.4,
"large_persistent_decline": 0,
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.2
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.8,
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"small_or_temporary_decline": -0.3,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.3
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.75,
"small_or_temporary_decline": 0.25,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.5
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.4,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.25,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.35,
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.2
},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.75,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.5,
"large_persistent_decline": -0.25,
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},
{
"no_decline_or_increase": -0.75,
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"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.5
}
],
"averaged": {
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"small_or_temporary_decline": -0.13695652173913042,
"moderate_or_persistent_decline": 0.373913043478261
},
"variable_id": "v_london_retail_sales_decline"
}
],
"p4": {
"verdicts": [
{
"reason": "The variable is narrowly scoped to the size and durability of retail sales decline within London’s charge zone and has only one matching site-specific member atom.",
"status": "ok",
"var_id": "v_london_retail_sales_decline",
"recommended_action": "keep"
},
{
"reason": "The variable is narrowly scoped to Stockholm’s charge-zone retail-sales decline and the single member atom fits that factual question without mixing mechanisms or jurisdictions.",
"status": "ok",
"var_id": "v_stockholm_retail_sales_decline",
"recommended_action": "keep"
}
],
"warnings": [],
"created_var_ids": [],
"retired_var_ids": []
},
"llm_calls": {
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"p2": 1,
"p3": 24,
"p4": 1,
"total": 29,
"p3_rescore": 0
},
"touched_vars": [
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"v_london_retail_sales_decline",
"v_stockholm_retail_sales_decline"
],
"sc_points_after": {
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"sc_downtown_retail_sales_loss": -1.5702373639684917
}
}
}